Services de messagerie mobile: un marché estimé à 224 billions USD d’ici 2013
Les revenus générés par les services de messagerie mobile (SMS, MMS, Mobile Email et Mobile IM) devraient atteindre les 224 billions USD, d’ici 2013, selon le cabinet britannique Portio Research. ces prévisions découlent des conclusions de la troisième étude et l’analyse de la croissance du marché mondial de la messagerie mobile (Analysis and Growth forecasts for mobile messaging markets wordwile).
Mobile messaging is a fast growing and exciting industry, generating revenues of 130 billion USD worldwide in 2008, and this figure is set to rise to a market value of 224 billion USD by full year 2013. This detailed new report shows that SMS still accounts for the majority of that revenue, and SMS will remain the most dominant mobile messaging format for most of the next decade. SMS has generated revenues of 89 billion USD in 2008, and the world has seen traffic of almost 3.5 trillion SMS messages in 2008. Our forecasts predict that SMS will become a 100 billion USD business by 2010, and worldwide total traffic will reach almost 5 trillion messages in FY 2011, and growth will continue from there.
Meanwhile, MMS is still the second highest revenue generating non-voice mobile service in the world, and in this report we argue that MMS has not failed, contrary to popular opinion, but MMS will be fighting to keep its place in the messaging mix over the next 5 years. In 2004, when SMS was booming and MMS was fighting hard to establish itself as a reliable format, the mobile industry was full of hype and misinformed expectations about the future of MS. Everyone was saying MMS would be ‘the next SMS’, yet as the years passed, SMS continued to grow at a rapid pace, and MMS continued to lag in a distant second place. At that time, in 2004, SMS generated revenues of 30 billion USD worldwide. In 2009, MMS will generate 31 billion USD worldwide, so finally, in 2009, MMS has become ‘the next SMS’, measured by 2004 values. Of course, SMS has grown to three times its original size in the intervening 5 years, but we believe it’s time to stop saying MMS has failed.
Portio Research: Mobile Messaging Futures 2009-2013
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